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Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Jurij Rodionov — Prediction

ATP Clay Kitzbühel · R16

Predicted probability

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Argentina

52.76%

Jurij Rodionov

Austria

47.24%

Average Odds

1.49  /  2.57

Market probability

63.30%  /  36.70%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1688.2 Elo 1667.1
1683.6 Elo (surface) 1573.7
131 Wins 65
75 Wins (surface) 30
6 Last 15 form 9
1 Head-to-head wins 2
1.160 Dominance ratio 0.912
31 Rank 145
27.0 Age 27.2
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–6L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Jurij Rodionov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry Jurij Rodionov

1st Serve In %

60.4%
59.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.9%
72.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.7%
48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%
28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%
43.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.49
0.61

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15
0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

68.6%
60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.9%
70.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%
48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%
30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%
47.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.43
0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14
0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry Jurij Rodionov

Break Points Saved %

57.7%
64.9%

Break Points Converted %

39.4%
37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.8%
59.4%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%
31.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tomas Martin Etcheverry 1 – 2 Jurij Rodionov

Clay Kitzbühel · 2026-07-22

R16

Tomas Martin Etcheverry #31

Jurij Rodionov #145

6-2 7-6
3 Aces 4
1 Double Faults 4
62 Service Points 69
46 First Serve In 35
32 First Serve Won 24
10 Second Serve Won 15
3 Break Points Saved 6
5 Break Points Faced 10
16 Winners 18
25 Unforced Errors 36
1.5 Average Odds 2.6
Clay Aix En Provence CH · 2023-05-01

R16

Jurij Rodionov #119

Tomas Martin Etcheverry #59

6-3 1-6 7-6(5)
2 Aces 6
1 Double Faults 1
91 Service Points 84
56 First Serve In 52
38 First Serve Won 39
19 Second Serve Won 19
5 Break Points Saved 2
8 Break Points Faced 4
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Iasi CH · 2020-09-14

R16

Jurij Rodionov #178

Tomas Martin Etcheverry #295

6-3 6-4
7 Aces 3
0 Double Faults 1
53 Service Points 68
37 First Serve In 43
32 First Serve Won 32
9 Second Serve Won 9
1 Break Points Saved 6
1 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Portoroz CH · 2019-08-12

R64

Tomas Martin Etcheverry #430

Jurij Rodionov #316

6-7(0) 6-2 6-2
18 Aces 5
4 Double Faults 3
89 Service Points 92
58 First Serve In 58
46 First Serve Won 39
14 Second Serve Won 17
2 Break Points Saved 7
3 Break Points Faced 12
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Tomas Martin Etcheverry — Last 10

L W W W L L L L W W

Jurij Rodionov — Last 10

L W L W W W W L L W