ATP tennis predict — Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Ignacio Buse

ATP Clay Kitzbühel · QF

Predicted probability

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Argentina

35.31%

Ignacio Buse

Peru

64.69%

Average Odds

1.92 / 1.85

Market probability

49.07% / 50.93%

Why This Prediction?

Ignacio Buse is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1801 vs 1698), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1810 vs 1692) and a stronger return game (42.3% vs 36.7% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1698.3 Elo 1801.1

1692.2 Elo (surface) 1810.4

132 Wins 35

76 Wins (surface) 25

6 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.184 Dominance ratio 0.782

31 Rank 35

27.0 Age 22.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–6L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Ignacio Buse

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry Ignacio Buse

1st Serve In %

60.4%

64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.9%

64.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.7%

47.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

25.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%

52.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.49

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

68.6%

61.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.9%

69.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

49.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%

37.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%

51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry Ignacio Buse

Break Points Saved %

57.7%

56.0%

Break Points Converted %

39.4%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.8%

54.8%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

34.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tomas Martin Etcheverry 0 – 0 Ignacio Buse

Clay Kitzbühel · 2026-07-23

QF

Tomas Martin Etcheverry #31

Ignacio Buse #35

6-2 7-5

3 Aces 5

1 Double Faults 3

57 Service Points 61

32 First Serve In 37

26 First Serve Won 24

14 Second Serve Won 11

2 Break Points Saved 8

3 Break Points Faced 12

16 Winners 16

19 Unforced Errors 38

1.9 Average Odds 1.9

Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Ignacio Buse — Prediction