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Tom Paris vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand — Prediction

Challenger Hard Roanne challenger · qualification - 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Tom Paris

France

49.10%

Average Odds

2.13  /  1.65

Market probability

43.65%  /  56.35%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1532.7 Elo 1581.0
1528.8 Elo (surface) 1630.4
30 Wins (Challenger) 12
18 Wins (surface) 11
6 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.847 Dominance ratio 1.111
676 Rank 509
24.1 Age 26.3
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tom Paris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tom Paris Yanis Ghazouani Durand

1st Serve In %

55.3%
—

1st Serve Points Won %

78.8%
—

2nd Serve Points Won %

65.0%
—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.5%
—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.6%
—

Aces per Service Game

0.36
—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15
—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.9%
60.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.7%
70.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%
57.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%
19.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.9%
59.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.29
0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20
0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tom Paris Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Break Points Saved %

66.7%
—

Break Points Converted %

29.4%
—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.3%
56.2%

Break Points Converted %

42.2%
52.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tom Paris and Yanis Ghazouani Durand have never played each other.

Tom Paris — Last 10

L L L W L W L L L L

Yanis Ghazouani Durand — Last 10

L W W L L W W W L W