ATP tennis predict — Tom Gentzsch vs Zsombor Piros

Challenger Clay Hagen challenger · SF 15:30

Predicted probability

Tom Gentzsch

Germany

33.11%

Zsombor Piros

Hungary

66.89%

Average Odds

2.55 / 1.47

Market probability

36.57% / 63.43%

Why This Prediction?

Zsombor Piros is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1828 vs 1712), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1858 vs 1755) and more wins on clay courts (146 vs 36).

Player Comparison

1712.4 Elo 1828.4

1754.6 Elo (surface) 1857.8

58 Wins (Challenger) 219

36 Wins (surface) 146

10 Last 15 form 14

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.893 Dominance ratio 1.232

185 Rank 123

22.9 Age 26.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tom Gentzsch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–4L · 73.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Zsombor Piros

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 13W–4L · 76.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tom Gentzsch Zsombor Piros

1st Serve In %

62.9%

54.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

70.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%

48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.6%

27.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

54.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.0%

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.2%

69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.3%

55.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.0%

31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.0%

51.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tom Gentzsch Zsombor Piros

Break Points Saved %

51.4%

70.4%

Break Points Converted %

44.4%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.7%

68.1%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tom Gentzsch 1 – 0 Zsombor Piros

Clay Hagen challenger · 2026-08-08

SF

Tom Gentzsch #185

Zsombor Piros #123

6-4 6-4

4 Aces 6

7 Double Faults 3

67 Service Points 85

46 First Serve In 51

37 First Serve Won 29

8 Second Serve Won 18

4 Break Points Saved 7

5 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.5 Average Odds 1.5

Clay Ostrava CH · 2026-04-27

R16

Tom Gentzsch #228

Zsombor Piros #148

6-4 6-7(7) 7-5

8 Aces 4

10 Double Faults 2

124 Service Points 124

81 First Serve In 70

63 First Serve Won 43

17 Second Serve Won 31

8 Break Points Saved 9

11 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Tom Gentzsch vs Zsombor Piros — Prediction