ATP tennis predict — Tom Gentzsch vs Niels Visker

Challenger Hard Olbia challenger · 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Tom Gentzsch

Germany

58.23%

Niels Visker

Netherlands

41.77%

Average Odds

1.50 / 2.49

Market probability

62.41% / 37.59%

Why This Prediction?

Tom Gentzsch is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1767 vs 1605), more wins on hard courts (1 vs 0) and better recent form (3 wins in his last 15 matches vs 1).

Player Comparison

1767.0 Elo 1605.4

1642.1 Elo (surface) 1648.3

63 Wins (Challenger) 37

21 Wins (surface) 24

10 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.957 Dominance ratio 1.083

164 Rank 415

23.1 Age 25.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tom Gentzsch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–5L · 68.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Niels Visker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tom Gentzsch Niels Visker

1st Serve In %

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

74.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%

50.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.6%

18.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

47.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.2%

61.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.6%

75.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.7%

53.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.8%

24.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.6%

50.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.52

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tom Gentzsch Niels Visker

Break Points Saved %

51.4%

61.5%

Break Points Converted %

44.4%

21.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.0%

57.8%

Break Points Converted %

42.6%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tom Gentzsch 0 – 1 Niels Visker

Hard Bergamo CH · 2025-11-17

R32

Niels Visker #697

Tom Gentzsch #286

7-6(3) 6-4

11 Aces 6

2 Double Faults 2

74 Service Points 77

42 First Serve In 52

33 First Serve Won 37

16 Second Serve Won 12

2 Break Points Saved 7

3 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Tom Gentzsch vs Niels Visker — Prediction