ATP tennis predict — Tom Gentzsch vs Max Houkes

Challenger Clay Bunschoten challenger · QF

Predicted probability

Tom Gentzsch

Germany

54.57%

Max Houkes

Netherlands

45.43%

Average Odds

1.78 / 1.95

Market probability

52.28% / 47.72%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1645.5 Elo 1610.8

1684.9 Elo (surface) 1653.6

50 Wins (Challenger) 64

28 Wins (surface) 63

11 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.205 Dominance ratio 1.138

212 Rank 244

22.9 Age 26.0

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tom Gentzsch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–4L · 73.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Max Houkes

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tom Gentzsch Max Houkes

1st Serve In %

62.9%

67.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

67.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%

37.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.6%

24.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

43.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.0%

62.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.2%

74.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.3%

57.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.0%

28.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.0%

49.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tom Gentzsch Max Houkes

Break Points Saved %

51.4%

54.1%

Break Points Converted %

44.4%

46.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.7%

64.1%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

39.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tom Gentzsch 0 – 0 Max Houkes

Clay Bunschoten challenger · 2026-07-17

QF

Tom Gentzsch #212

Max Houkes #244

3-6 7-6 6-4

9 Aces 6

6 Double Faults 2

91 Service Points 89

51 First Serve In 56

42 First Serve Won 43

20 Second Serve Won 19

3 Break Points Saved 2

5 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Tom Gentzsch vs Max Houkes — Prediction