ATP tennis predict — Tom Gentzsch vs Martin Krumich

Challenger Clay Szczecin challenger · R16 14:30

Predicted probability

Tom Gentzsch

Germany

66.36%

Martin Krumich

Czech Republic

33.64%

Average Odds

1.54 / 2.37

Market probability

60.61% / 39.39%

Why This Prediction?

Tom Gentzsch is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1804 vs 1651), a higher Elo rating (1782 vs 1669) and a stronger serve (62.1% vs 57.1% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1782.4 Elo 1668.7

1803.9 Elo (surface) 1651.3

61 Wins (Challenger) 75

39 Wins (surface) 63

11 Last 15 form 7

3 Head-to-head wins 1

0.957 Dominance ratio 0.793

166 Rank 256

23.0 Age 23.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tom Gentzsch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–4L · 73.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Martin Krumich

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–7L · 58.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tom Gentzsch Martin Krumich

1st Serve In %

62.9%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%

43.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.6%

29.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.0%

59.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.2%

64.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.3%

54.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.0%

25.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.0%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tom Gentzsch Martin Krumich

Break Points Saved %

51.4%

61.8%

Break Points Converted %

44.4%

32.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.7%

63.1%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

27.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tom Gentzsch 3 – 1 Martin Krumich

Clay Szczecin challenger · 2026-09-16

R16

Tom Gentzsch #166

Martin Krumich #256

6-3 6-4

4 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

38 First Serve Won 19

10 Second Serve Won 16

1 Break Points Saved 4

1 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Clay Oeiras 3 CH · 2026-04-13

Q1

Tom Gentzsch #231

Martin Krumich #317

6-4 5-7 6-4

2 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 5

98 Service Points 105

67 First Serve In 71

44 First Serve Won 41

13 Second Serve Won 17

6 Break Points Saved 7

11 Break Points Faced 13

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Koblenz CH · 2026-02-02

R16

Tom Gentzsch #277

Martin Krumich #339

6-3 6-4

5 Aces 4

0 Double Faults 1

57 Service Points 61

42 First Serve In 38

33 First Serve Won 24

9 Second Serve Won 13

1 Break Points Saved 1

1 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Nottingham CH · 2026-01-05

R16

Tom Gentzsch #289

Martin Krumich #347

4-6 6-3 7-6(3)

14 Aces 5

2 Double Faults 1

97 Service Points 104

74 First Serve In 79

57 First Serve Won 55

8 Second Serve Won 9

3 Break Points Saved 7

6 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Bunschoten CH · 2025-07-14

Q2

Martin Krumich #509

Tom Gentzsch #399

6-4 6-2

5 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 3

51 Service Points 67

28 First Serve In 49

24 First Serve Won 33

14 Second Serve Won 5

3 Break Points Saved 4

3 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Tom Gentzsch vs Martin Krumich — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Tom Gentzsch — Last 10

Martin Krumich — Last 10