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Tom Gentzsch vs Henri Squire — Prediction

Challenger Clay Hagen challenger · QF 17:00

Predicted probability

Tom Gentzsch

Germany

60.52%

Henri Squire

Germany

39.48%

Average Odds

1.65  /  2.14

Market probability

56.46%  /  43.54%

Why This Prediction?

Tom Gentzsch is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1736 vs 1656), a higher Elo rating (1696 vs 1655) and fewer double faults per game (0.11 vs 0.19).

Player Comparison

1695.7 Elo 1655.1
1736.4 Elo (surface) 1655.8
57 Wins (Challenger) 145
35 Wins (surface) 85
10 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.876 Dominance ratio 1.196
185 Rank 211
22.9 Age 25.9
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tom Gentzsch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–4L · 73.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Henri Squire

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–6L · 45.5%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tom Gentzsch Henri Squire

1st Serve In %

62.9%
64.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%
70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%
42.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.6%
25.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%
51.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.45
0.58

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26
0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.0%
65.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.2%
62.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.3%
49.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.0%
36.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.0%
57.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.46
0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28
0.40

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tom Gentzsch Henri Squire

Break Points Saved %

51.4%
54.7%

Break Points Converted %

44.4%
40.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.7%
62.0%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%
39.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tom Gentzsch 00 Henri Squire

Clay Hagen challenger · 2026-08-07
6-3 7-6
7 Aces 3
4 Double Faults 9
79 Service Points 78
50 First Serve In 56
35 First Serve Won 35
12 Second Serve Won 8
4 Break Points Saved 6
7 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.6 Average Odds 2.1

Tom Gentzsch — Last 10

W L W W L L W W W W

Henri Squire — Last 10

L L L L L L W W L W