ATP tennis predict — Tom Gentzsch vs Georgii Kravchenko

Challenger Hard Olbia challenger · R16 11:00

Predicted probability

Tom Gentzsch

Germany

68.38%

Georgii Kravchenko

Ukraine

31.62%

Average Odds

1.49 / 2.42

Market probability

61.89% / 38.11%

Why This Prediction?

Tom Gentzsch is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1777 vs 1625), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1669 vs 1604) and better recent form (3 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1777.3 Elo 1624.6

1669.1 Elo (surface) 1604.3

64 Wins (Challenger) 54

22 Wins (surface) 15

10 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.957 Dominance ratio 1.083

164 Rank 313

23.1 Age 26.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tom Gentzsch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 12W–5L · 70.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Georgii Kravchenko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–5L · 58.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tom Gentzsch Georgii Kravchenko

1st Serve In %

62.9%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.45

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.0%

65.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.4%

70.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

38.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.9%

39.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.2%

64.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.52

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tom Gentzsch Georgii Kravchenko

Break Points Saved %

51.4%

—

Break Points Converted %

44.4%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.7%

64.6%

Break Points Converted %

43.3%

39.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tom Gentzsch and Georgii Kravchenko have never played each other.

Tom Gentzsch vs Georgii Kravchenko — Prediction