ATP tennis predict — Tom Gentzsch vs Dali Blanch

Challenger Clay Tampere challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Tom Gentzsch

Germany

62.18%

Dali Blanch

USA

37.82%

Average Odds

1.57 / 2.28

Market probability

59.22% / 40.78%

Why This Prediction?

Tom Gentzsch is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (65.8% vs 58.3% of service points won), a higher Elo rating (1663 vs 1609) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1708 vs 1646).

Player Comparison

1663.1 Elo 1609.5

1708.3 Elo (surface) 1646.2

52 Wins (Challenger) 59

30 Wins (surface) 49

10 Last 15 form 11

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.140 Dominance ratio 0.908

189 Rank 305

22.9 Age 23.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tom Gentzsch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–4L · 73.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Dali Blanch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tom Gentzsch Dali Blanch

1st Serve In %

62.9%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.45

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.0%

58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.2%

72.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.3%

50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.0%

29.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.0%

58.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tom Gentzsch Dali Blanch

Break Points Saved %

51.4%

—

Break Points Converted %

44.4%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.7%

63.3%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

51.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tom Gentzsch 1 – 0 Dali Blanch

Clay Tampere challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Tom Gentzsch #189

Dali Blanch #305

6-7 7-5 6-4

4 Aces 3

4 Double Faults 3

104 Service Points 106

64 First Serve In 73

42 First Serve Won 52

21 Second Serve Won 17

4 Break Points Saved 4

9 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Clay Bunschoten CH · 2025-07-14

Q1

Tom Gentzsch #399

Dali Blanch #480

6-1 4-6 6-1

6 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 1

72 Service Points 71

56 First Serve In 41

40 First Serve Won 27

10 Second Serve Won 12

4 Break Points Saved 2

5 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Tom Gentzsch vs Dali Blanch — Prediction