ATP tennis predict — Tom Gentzsch vs Alan Wazny

Challenger Clay Szczecin challenger · 1. round 19:00

Predicted probability

Tom Gentzsch

Germany

79.65%

Alan Wazny

Poland

20.35%

Average Odds

1.09 / 6.25

Market probability

85.15% / 14.85%

Why This Prediction?

Tom Gentzsch is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1777 vs 1475), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1797 vs 1488) and more career match wins (60 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1776.8 Elo 1474.8

1797.2 Elo (surface) 1488.4

60 Wins (Challenger) 2

38 Wins (surface) 2

11 Last 15 form 2

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.957 Dominance ratio 0.843

145 Rank 827

23.0 Age 19.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tom Gentzsch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–4L · 73.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Alan Wazny

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tom Gentzsch Alan Wazny

1st Serve In %

62.9%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.45

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.0%

65.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.2%

60.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.3%

41.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.0%

33.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.0%

52.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tom Gentzsch Alan Wazny

Break Points Saved %

51.4%

—

Break Points Converted %

44.4%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.7%

60.3%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tom Gentzsch 0 – 0 Alan Wazny

Clay Szczecin challenger · 2026-09-14

1. round

Tom Gentzsch #166

Alan Wazny #813

7-5 6-7 6-0

7 Aces 3

4 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

38 First Serve Won 25

18 Second Serve Won 21

2 Break Points Saved 7

6 Break Points Faced 15

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 6.2

Tom Gentzsch vs Alan Wazny — Prediction