ATP tennis predict — Togan Tokac vs Tuncay Duran

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · qualification - 1. round 10:40

Predicted probability

Togan Tokac

Turkey

15.28%

Tuncay Duran

Turkey

84.72%

Average Odds

3.46 / 1.28

Market probability

27.00% / 73.00%

Why This Prediction?

Tuncay Duran is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1494 vs 1473), more wins on hard courts (7 vs 2) and more career match wins (7 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1473.0 Elo 1494.5

1543.5 Elo (surface) 1513.5

2 Wins (Challenger) 7

2 Wins (surface) 7

2 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.251 Dominance ratio 1.011

1519 Rank 633

None Age 22.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Togan Tokac

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Tuncay Duran

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Togan Tokac Tuncay Duran

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

60.1%

58.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.5%

69.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.6%

48.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.2%

27.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

59.3%

49.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.57

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Togan Tokac Tuncay Duran

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

76.7%

59.7%

Break Points Converted %

64.0%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Togan Tokac 0 – 0 Tuncay Duran

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-09-06

qualification - 1. round

Tuncay Duran #633

Togan Tokac #1519

6-4 6-3

6 Aces 3

3 Double Faults 2

64 Service Points 55

39 First Serve In 35

28 First Serve Won 29

11 Second Serve Won 11

1 Break Points Saved 4

4 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.5

Togan Tokac vs Tuncay Duran — Prediction