ATP tennis predict — Togan Tokac vs Semen Pankin

Challenger Hard Samsun challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Togan Tokac

Turkey

25.39%

Semen Pankin

Russia

74.61%

Average Odds

2.92 / 1.37

Market probability

31.93% / 68.07%

Why This Prediction?

Semen Pankin is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1606 vs 1587), more wins on hard courts (7 vs 2) and more career match wins (7 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1587.1 Elo 1606.1

1601.0 Elo (surface) 1600.5

2 Wins (Challenger) 7

2 Wins (surface) 7

2 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.104 Dominance ratio 0.944

1905 Rank 424

None Age 26.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Togan Tokac

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Semen Pankin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Togan Tokac Semen Pankin

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

60.1%

52.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.5%

69.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.6%

47.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.2%

27.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

59.3%

46.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Togan Tokac Semen Pankin

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

76.7%

51.4%

Break Points Converted %

64.0%

33.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Togan Tokac 0 – 0 Semen Pankin

Hard Samsun challenger · 2026-07-28

1. round

Semen Pankin #424

Togan Tokac #1905

6-3 6-3

2 Aces 4

4 Double Faults 5

53 Service Points 60

29 First Serve In 38

19 First Serve Won 27

9 Second Serve Won 13

2 Break Points Saved 6

6 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.9

Togan Tokac vs Semen Pankin — Prediction