ATP tennis predict — Toby Samuel vs Jerome Kym

Challenger Hard Porto challenger · R16 12:00

Predicted probability

Toby Samuel

Great Britain

61.43%

Jerome Kym

Switzerland

38.57%

Average Odds

1.45 / 2.61

Market probability

64.29% / 35.71%

Why This Prediction?

Toby Samuel is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1947 vs 1721), a higher Elo rating (1936 vs 1786) and a lighter recent match load (19 vs 28 games played recently).

Player Comparison

1936.4 Elo 1786.0

1947.1 Elo (surface) 1721.2

48 Wins (Challenger) 82

43 Wins (surface) 19

11 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.658 Dominance ratio 0.925

98 Rank 286

24.1 Age 23.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Toby Samuel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–1L · 87.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Jerome Kym

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–4L · 63.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Toby Samuel Jerome Kym

1st Serve In %

63.0%

62.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.8%

78.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.1%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.8%

27.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.9%

50.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.97

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.9%

58.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.6%

74.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.6%

49.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.9%

26.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.6%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.24

0.61

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Toby Samuel Jerome Kym

Break Points Saved %

63.6%

71.4%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

32.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.5%

54.0%

Break Points Converted %

38.1%

36.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Toby Samuel and Jerome Kym have never played each other.

Toby Samuel vs Jerome Kym — Prediction