ATP tennis predict — Titouan Droguet vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Challenger Hard Cassis challenger · SF 14:00

Predicted probability

Titouan Droguet

France

57.44%

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Norway

42.56%

Average Odds

1.58 / 2.28

Market probability

59.07% / 40.93%

Why This Prediction?

Titouan Droguet is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1914 vs 1777), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1825 vs 1775) and more wins on hard courts (24 vs 12).

Player Comparison

1913.7 Elo 1776.9

1825.2 Elo (surface) 1775.4

124 Wins (Challenger) 54

55 Wins (surface) 33

12 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.165 Dominance ratio 0.975

103 Rank 149

25.2 Age 20.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Titouan Droguet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–3L · 78.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Titouan Droguet Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

1st Serve In %

56.3%

57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.9%

52.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%

32.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.3%

52.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

—

61.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

69.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

58.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

26.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

47.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.62

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Titouan Droguet Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

67.1%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

36.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.0%

54.9%

Break Points Converted %

43.3%

47.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Titouan Droguet 0 – 0 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Hard Cassis challenger · 2026-09-12

SF

Titouan Droguet #103

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer #149

6-7 6-2 6-4

14 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

44 First Serve Won 40

19 Second Serve Won 14

2 Break Points Saved 2

4 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Titouan Droguet vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer — Prediction