ATP tennis predict — Titouan Droguet vs Mark Lajal

Challenger Hard St. Tropez challenger · QF 10:00

Predicted probability

Titouan Droguet

France

60.81%

Mark Lajal

Estonia

39.19%

Average Odds

1.65 / 2.11

Market probability

56.12% / 43.88%

Why This Prediction?

Titouan Droguet is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1938 vs 1837), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1877 vs 1813) and the advantage of playing in his home country.

Player Comparison

1938.1 Elo 1837.2

1876.7 Elo (surface) 1812.9

131 Wins (Challenger) 144

62 Wins (surface) 130

13 Last 15 form 12

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.165 Dominance ratio 1.039

84 Rank 143

25.3 Age 23.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Titouan Droguet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–3L · 78.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Mark Lajal

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 11W–3L · 78.6%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–3L · 76.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

37 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Titouan Droguet Mark Lajal

1st Serve In %

56.3%

61.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.9%

54.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%

25.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.3%

53.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

—

58.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

61.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

44.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

57.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.62

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.43

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Titouan Droguet Mark Lajal

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

62.7%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

41.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.0%

55.4%

Break Points Converted %

43.3%

35.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Titouan Droguet 1 – 0 Mark Lajal

Hard Cassis challenger · 2026-09-13

F

Titouan Droguet #103

Mark Lajal #152

6-4 7-6

3 Aces 4

3 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

34 First Serve Won 32

13 Second Serve Won 19

4 Break Points Saved 7

6 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.0

Titouan Droguet vs Mark Lajal — Prediction