ATP tennis predict — Titouan Droguet vs Gijs Brouwer

Challenger Hard Cassis challenger · R16 13:30

Predicted probability

Titouan Droguet

France

82.26%

Gijs Brouwer

Netherlands

17.74%

Average Odds

1.11 / 5.96

Market probability

84.30% / 15.70%

Why This Prediction?

Titouan Droguet is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1903 vs 1632), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1802 vs 1644) and a stronger serve (66.5% vs 52.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1902.6 Elo 1632.0

1801.9 Elo (surface) 1643.9

122 Wins (Challenger) 97

53 Wins (surface) 72

11 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.165 Dominance ratio 0.880

103 Rank 909

25.2 Age 30.5

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Titouan Droguet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–3L · 78.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Gijs Brouwer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Titouan Droguet Gijs Brouwer

1st Serve In %

56.3%

67.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%

66.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.9%

40.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%

22.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.3%

47.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

—

66.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

67.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

39.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

36.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.62

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Titouan Droguet Gijs Brouwer

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

55.7%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

35.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.0%

56.2%

Break Points Converted %

43.3%

44.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Titouan Droguet 0 – 0 Gijs Brouwer

Hard Cassis challenger · 2026-09-09

R16

Titouan Droguet #103

Gijs Brouwer #909

6-2 7-6

9 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

29 First Serve Won 25

13 Second Serve Won 9

1 Break Points Saved 2

3 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 6.0

Titouan Droguet vs Gijs Brouwer — Prediction