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Titouan Droguet vs Daniil Glinka — Prediction

Challenger Hard Cassis challenger · QF 13:30

Predicted probability

Titouan Droguet

France

73.65%

Daniil Glinka

Estonia

26.35%

Average Odds

1.37  /  2.95

Market probability

68.29%  /  31.71%

Why This Prediction?

Titouan Droguet is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1907 vs 1714), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1812 vs 1729) and the advantage of playing in his home country.

Player Comparison

1907.2 Elo 1713.8
1811.9 Elo (surface) 1729.2
123 Wins (Challenger) 80
54 Wins (surface) 74
12 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.165 Dominance ratio 1.159
103 Rank 156
25.2 Age 26.3
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Titouan Droguet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–1L · 85.7%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–3L · 78.6%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Daniil Glinka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Titouan Droguet Daniil Glinka

1st Serve In %

56.3%
61.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%
71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.9%
47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%
23.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.3%
44.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.43
0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39
0.32

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.62
0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21
0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Titouan Droguet Daniil Glinka

Break Points Saved %

58.3%
60.0%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%
42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.0%
54.2%

Break Points Converted %

43.3%
41.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Titouan Droguet 00 Daniil Glinka

Hard Cassis challenger · 2026-09-11
4-6 6-3 6-2
6 Aces 8
2 Double Faults 2
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
35 First Serve Won 34
17 Second Serve Won 21
1 Break Points Saved 6
3 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.4 Average Odds 3.0

Titouan Droguet — Last 10

W W L W W W W W W W

Daniil Glinka — Last 10

W W L W W L L W L W