ATP tennis predict — Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Rincon

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 17:00

Predicted probability

Titouan Droguet

France

66.21%

Daniel Rincon

Spain

33.79%

Average Odds

1.19 / 4.44

Market probability

78.86% / 21.14%

Why This Prediction?

Titouan Droguet is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1772 vs 1678), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1669 vs 1601) and more wins on hard courts (24 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1772.2 Elo 1677.6

1668.9 Elo (surface) 1600.7

45 Wins 7

24 Wins (surface) 1

9 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.795 Dominance ratio 0.851

111 Rank 206

25.2 Age 23.6

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Titouan Droguet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–3L · 78.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Daniel Rincon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-06-11.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Titouan Droguet Daniel Rincon

1st Serve In %

56.3%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%

70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.9%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%

31.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.3%

48.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

—

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

67.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

51.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

27.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.62

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Titouan Droguet Daniel Rincon

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

63.5%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

33.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.0%

69.4%

Break Points Converted %

43.3%

40.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Titouan Droguet 0 – 0 Daniel Rincon

Hard Rennes challenger · 2026-09-17

R16

Titouan Droguet #89

Daniel Rincon #253

5-7 6-4 6-3

9 Aces 11

3 Double Faults 5

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

46 First Serve Won 52

19 Second Serve Won 11

13 Break Points Saved 4

17 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.1

Hard US Open · 2026-08-24

qualification - 1. round

Daniel Rincon #208

Titouan Droguet #102

2-6 6-4 7-6

4 Aces 5

6 Double Faults 6

111 Service Points 109

68 First Serve In 57

42 First Serve Won 38

18 Second Serve Won 25

12 Break Points Saved 9

17 Break Points Faced 15

28 Winners 39

28 Unforced Errors 35

4.4 Average Odds 1.2

Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Rincon — Prediction