ATP tennis predict — Titouan Droguet vs Alexei Popyrin

ATP Hard Cincinnati · qualification - 1. round 03:10

Predicted probability

Titouan Droguet

France

54.13%

Alexei Popyrin

Australia

45.87%

Average Odds

2.07 / 1.72

Market probability

45.38% / 54.62%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1760.9 Elo 1688.8

1657.6 Elo (surface) 1570.6

43 Wins 182

22 Wins (surface) 119

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.820 Dominance ratio 1.088

119 Rank 139

25.2 Age 27.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Titouan Droguet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–3L · 78.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Alexei Popyrin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Titouan Droguet Alexei Popyrin

1st Serve In %

56.3%

59.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%

77.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.9%

53.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.3%

44.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.77

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

—

56.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

77.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

55.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

28.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.62

0.72

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Titouan Droguet Alexei Popyrin

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

56.0%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.0%

59.1%

Break Points Converted %

43.3%

30.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Titouan Droguet 0 – 0 Alexei Popyrin

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-12

qualification - 1. round

Titouan Droguet #119

Alexei Popyrin #139

7-6 6-1

3 Aces 7

6 Double Faults 3

69 Service Points 53

37 First Serve In 31

25 First Serve Won 26

12 Second Serve Won 13

3 Break Points Saved 1

7 Break Points Faced 2

16 Winners 21

29 Unforced Errors 19

2.1 Average Odds 1.7

Titouan Droguet vs Alexei Popyrin — Prediction