ATP tennis predict — Timofey Skatov vs Thomas Faurel

Challenger Clay San Marino challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Timofey Skatov

Kazakhstan

70.81%

Thomas Faurel

France

29.19%

Average Odds

1.63 / 2.18

Market probability

57.22% / 42.78%

Why This Prediction?

Timofey Skatov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1662 vs 1467), a higher Elo rating (1634 vs 1472) and more wins on clay courts (124 vs 19).

Player Comparison

1634.3 Elo 1472.4

1661.5 Elo (surface) 1467.2

143 Wins (Challenger) 22

124 Wins (surface) 19

8 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 2

1.043 Dominance ratio 0.991

150 Rank 321

25.5 Age 20.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Timofey Skatov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Thomas Faurel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Timofey Skatov Thomas Faurel

1st Serve In %

67.0%

62.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%

68.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.9%

52.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.9%

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%

41.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.49

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.5%

59.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.2%

64.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.4%

31.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.9%

44.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Timofey Skatov Thomas Faurel

Break Points Saved %

64.7%

69.7%

Break Points Converted %

44.6%

32.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

46.8%

60.5%

Break Points Converted %

34.6%

56.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Timofey Skatov 0 – 2 Thomas Faurel

Clay San Marino challenger · 2026-07-28

1. round

Timofey Skatov #150

Thomas Faurel #321

6-1 7-6

9 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 1

60 Service Points 74

43 First Serve In 44

37 First Serve Won 27

9 Second Serve Won 15

0 Break Points Saved 5

1 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Clay Tampere CH · 2025-07-21

R32

Thomas Faurel #785

Timofey Skatov #309

7-6(2) 4-0 RET

2 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 5

56 Service Points 53

34 First Serve In 29

24 First Serve Won 17

13 Second Serve Won 11

3 Break Points Saved 2

4 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Troyes CH · 2025-06-30

R32

Thomas Faurel #862

Timofey Skatov #209

6-2 4-6 6-0

5 Aces 2

4 Double Faults 9

73 Service Points 68

39 First Serve In 37

28 First Serve Won 21

19 Second Serve Won 11

8 Break Points Saved 6

11 Break Points Faced 13

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Timofey Skatov vs Thomas Faurel — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Timofey Skatov — Last 10

Thomas Faurel — Last 10