ATP tennis predict — Timofey Skatov vs Stefanos Sakellaridis

ATP Hard Shanghai · qualification - 1. round 08:15

Predicted probability

Timofey Skatov

Kazakhstan

28.42%

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Greece

71.58%

Average Odds

2.53 / 1.49

Market probability

37.06% / 62.94%

Why This Prediction?

Stefanos Sakellaridis is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1744 vs 1585), a higher Elo rating (1803 vs 1684) and a stronger serve (67.5% vs 64.3% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1684.0 Elo 1803.4

1584.6 Elo (surface) 1744.1

45 Wins 9

14 Wins (surface) 2

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.012 Dominance ratio 0.958

204 Rank 134

25.7 Age 22.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Timofey Skatov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–2L · 81.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Timofey Skatov Stefanos Sakellaridis

1st Serve In %

67.0%

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%

73.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.9%

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.9%

24.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%

46.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.5%

61.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.2%

74.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

55.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.4%

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.9%

41.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Timofey Skatov Stefanos Sakellaridis

Break Points Saved %

64.7%

59.1%

Break Points Converted %

44.6%

37.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

46.8%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

34.6%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Timofey Skatov and Stefanos Sakellaridis have never played each other.

Timofey Skatov vs Stefanos Sakellaridis — Prediction