ATP tennis predict — Timofey Skatov vs Otto Virtanen

Challenger Clay San Marino challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Timofey Skatov

Kazakhstan

47.01%

Otto Virtanen

Finland

52.99%

Average Odds

2.34 / 1.55

Market probability

39.85% / 60.15%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1641.0 Elo 1791.3

1668.1 Elo (surface) 1603.9

144 Wins (Challenger) 125

125 Wins (surface) 17

8 Last 15 form 12

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.083 Dominance ratio 0.884

150 Rank 115

25.5 Age 25.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Timofey Skatov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Otto Virtanen

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–8L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Timofey Skatov Otto Virtanen

1st Serve In %

67.0%

58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%

76.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.9%

52.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.9%

26.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%

46.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.5%

59.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.2%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

52.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.4%

25.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.9%

44.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Timofey Skatov Otto Virtanen

Break Points Saved %

64.7%

70.0%

Break Points Converted %

44.6%

34.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

46.8%

57.7%

Break Points Converted %

34.6%

30.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Timofey Skatov 1 – 0 Otto Virtanen

Clay San Marino challenger · 2026-07-30

R16

Timofey Skatov #150

Otto Virtanen #115

6-2 6-4

2 Aces 7

0 Double Faults 6

49 Service Points 59

26 First Serve In 30

21 First Serve Won 20

15 Second Serve Won 11

1 Break Points Saved 5

2 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.3 Average Odds 1.6

Clay Roland Garros · 2023-05-29

Q2

Timofey Skatov #147

Otto Virtanen #119

4-6 6-2 7-5

0 Aces 5

1 Double Faults 3

103 Service Points 106

72 First Serve In 65

47 First Serve Won 39

15 Second Serve Won 19

11 Break Points Saved 7

14 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Timofey Skatov vs Otto Virtanen — Prediction