ATP tennis predict — Timofey Skatov vs Grigor Dimitrov

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 2. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Timofey Skatov

Kazakhstan

26.93%

Grigor Dimitrov

Bulgaria

73.07%

Average Odds

4.86 / 1.15

Market probability

19.13% / 80.87%

Why This Prediction?

Grigor Dimitrov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1840 vs 1429), a higher Elo rating (1806 vs 1628) and more wins on hard courts (342 vs 14).

Player Comparison

1627.7 Elo 1805.7

1429.1 Elo (surface) 1839.6

45 Wins 515

14 Wins (surface) 342

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.926 Dominance ratio 0.873

205 Rank 137

25.6 Age 35.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Timofey Skatov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Grigor Dimitrov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-16.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Timofey Skatov Grigor Dimitrov

1st Serve In %

67.0%

61.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%

71.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.9%

52.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.9%

24.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%

50.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.55

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.5%

60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.2%

77.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

47.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.4%

29.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.9%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Timofey Skatov Grigor Dimitrov

Break Points Saved %

64.7%

48.3%

Break Points Converted %

44.6%

42.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

46.8%

70.0%

Break Points Converted %

34.6%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Timofey Skatov 0 – 1 Grigor Dimitrov

Hard US Open · 2026-08-26

qualification - 2. round

Grigor Dimitrov #137

Timofey Skatov #205

7-6 6-4

4 Aces 17

4 Double Faults 4

84 Service Points 66

37 First Serve In 45

25 First Serve Won 39

30 Second Serve Won 12

5 Break Points Saved 1

6 Break Points Faced 1

14 Winners 44

8 Unforced Errors 23

1.1 Average Odds 4.9

Clay Roland Garros · 2023-05-29

R128

Grigor Dimitrov #29

Timofey Skatov #147

6-0 6-3 6-2

10 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 3

85 Service Points 72

54 First Serve In 55

42 First Serve Won 28

13 Second Serve Won 4

4 Break Points Saved 3

5 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Timofey Skatov vs Grigor Dimitrov — Prediction