ATP tennis predict — Timofei Derepasko vs Taiyo Yamanaka

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · qualification - round of 16 05:10

Predicted probability

Timofei Derepasko

Russia

49.28%

Taiyo Yamanaka

Japan

50.72%

Average Odds

1.63 / 2.15

Market probability

56.88% / 43.12%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1545.9 Elo 1495.4

1546.4 Elo (surface) 1503.2

3 Wins (Challenger) 9

3 Wins (surface) 9

3 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.111 Dominance ratio 1.012

680 Rank 830

19.7 Age 25.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Timofei Derepasko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Taiyo Yamanaka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Timofei Derepasko Taiyo Yamanaka

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

58.0%

56.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.1%

72.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%

47.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.0%

31.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%

44.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.55

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Timofei Derepasko Taiyo Yamanaka

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

56.0%

58.9%

Break Points Converted %

41.6%

43.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Timofei Derepasko 0 – 0 Taiyo Yamanaka

Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · 2026-09-07

qualification - round of 16

Timofei Derepasko #680

Taiyo Yamanaka #830

6-3 6-4

5 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 2

58 Service Points 57

29 First Serve In 33

21 First Serve Won 19

16 Second Serve Won 12

4 Break Points Saved 2

6 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.1

Timofei Derepasko vs Taiyo Yamanaka — Prediction