Timofei Derepasko vs Taisei Ichikawa — Prediction
Predicted probability
Average Odds
1.91 / 1.80
Market probability
48.52% / 51.48%
Why This Prediction?
Timofei Derepasko is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (45.6% vs 38.8% of return points won), a stronger serve (59.5% vs 58.5% of service points won) and more aces per game (0.24 vs 0.22).
Player Comparison
Performance vs. the Odds
Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.
Timofei Derepasko
7 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.
Taisei Ichikawa
7 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.
Serve & Return
Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.
Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.
1st Serve In %
1st Serve Points Won %
2nd Serve Points Won %
Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %
Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %
Aces per Service Game
Double Faults per Service Game
Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.
Break Point Performance
How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.
Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.
Break Points Saved %
Break Points Converted %
Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.
Head-to-Head
Timofei Derepasko 0 – 0 Taisei Ichikawa