ATP tennis predict — Timofei Derepasko vs Stefan Storch

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · qualification - 1. round 09:00

Predicted probability

Timofei Derepasko

Russia

92.51%

Stefan Storch

Australia

7.49%

Average Odds

1.19 / 4.23

Market probability

78.04% / 21.96%

Why This Prediction?

Timofei Derepasko is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1536 vs 1500), better recent form (5 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0) and a higher Elo rating (1535 vs 1500).

Player Comparison

1535.2 Elo 1500

1536.5 Elo (surface) 1500

5 Wins (Challenger) 0

5 Wins (surface) 0

5 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.125 Dominance ratio 1.125

680 Rank 1440

19.7 Age 24.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Timofei Derepasko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Stefan Storch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-13.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Timofei Derepasko Stefan Storch

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

58.0%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

70.1%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.55

0.67

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.56

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Timofei Derepasko Stefan Storch

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

56.0%

58.3%

Break Points Converted %

41.6%

20.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Timofei Derepasko 0 – 0 Stefan Storch

Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · 2026-09-13

qualification - 1. round

Timofei Derepasko #680

Stefan Storch #1440

6-3 6-3

3 Aces 6

8 Double Faults 5

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

17 First Serve Won 21

19 Second Serve Won 12

8 Break Points Saved 7

10 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.2

Timofei Derepasko vs Stefan Storch — Prediction