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Timofei Derepasko vs Omar Jasika — Prediction

Challenger Hard Wuning 3 challenger · QF 04:00

Predicted probability

Timofei Derepasko

Russia

49.44%

Omar Jasika

Australia

50.56%

Average Odds

3.50  /  1.27

Market probability

26.62%  /  73.38%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1652.3 Elo 1543.3
1652.7 Elo (surface) 1534.8
9 Wins (Challenger) 115
9 Wins (surface) 112
9 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.125 Dominance ratio 1.182
662 Rank 422
19.8 Age 29.4
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Timofei Derepasko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Omar Jasika

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-08-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Timofei Derepasko Omar Jasika

1st Serve In %

—
68.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

—
55.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—
40.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—
25.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—
49.5%

Aces per Service Game

—
0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

—
0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.1%
78.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.9%
75.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.8%
65.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.0%
36.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.1%
65.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.58
0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35
0.09

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Timofei Derepasko Omar Jasika

Break Points Saved %

—
43.0%

Break Points Converted %

—
26.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.5%
51.4%

Break Points Converted %

36.7%
51.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Timofei Derepasko and Omar Jasika have never played each other.

Timofei Derepasko — Last 10

W W L W W L W W W L

Omar Jasika — Last 10

W W L W W L L L W W