ATP tennis predict — Timofei Derepasko vs Filip Peliwo

Challenger Hard Wuning 3 challenger · R16 04:00

Predicted probability

Timofei Derepasko

Russia

69.11%

Filip Peliwo

Poland

30.89%

Average Odds

2.03 / 1.64

Market probability

44.69% / 55.31%

Why This Prediction?

Timofei Derepasko is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1629 vs 1465), a higher Elo rating (1626 vs 1492) and a stronger return game (45.6% vs 39.5% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1625.7 Elo 1492.3

1629.2 Elo (surface) 1464.7

8 Wins (Challenger) 120

8 Wins (surface) 106

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.125 Dominance ratio 1.110

662 Rank 661

19.8 Age 32.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Timofei Derepasko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Filip Peliwo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–7L · 12.5%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Timofei Derepasko Filip Peliwo

1st Serve In %

—

55.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

62.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

40.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

48.8%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.1%

65.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.9%

66.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.7%

46.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.1%

22.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.4%

49.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Timofei Derepasko Filip Peliwo

Break Points Saved %

—

54.8%

Break Points Converted %

—

42.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.9%

64.0%

Break Points Converted %

36.5%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Timofei Derepasko and Filip Peliwo have never played each other.

Timofei Derepasko vs Filip Peliwo — Prediction