ATP tennis predict — Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Challenger Hard San Diego 2 challenger · SF 23:00

Predicted probability

Timo Legout

France

62.46%

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Brazil

37.54%

Average Odds

1.47 / 2.54

Market probability

63.34% / 36.66%

Why This Prediction?

Timo Legout is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1773 vs 1680), a higher Elo rating (1801 vs 1732) and better recent form (12 wins in his last 15 matches vs 9).

Player Comparison

1801.4 Elo 1732.4

1772.8 Elo (surface) 1680.3

23 Wins (Challenger) 48

21 Wins (surface) 13

12 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.928 Dominance ratio 1.044

410 Rank 324

None Age 29.3

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Timo Legout

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Timo Legout Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

1st Serve In %

64.0%

62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

57.7%

73.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

30.0%

52.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.0%

30.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

34.1%

44.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.06

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.75

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.9%

61.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.0%

69.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.9%

47.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.3%

33.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.7%

47.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Timo Legout Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Break Points Saved %

44.4%

75.8%

Break Points Converted %

16.7%

31.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.1%

47.7%

Break Points Converted %

48.9%

55.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Timo Legout and Igor Ribeiro Marcondes have never played each other.

Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes — Prediction