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Timo Legout vs Darian King — Prediction

Challenger Hard San Diego 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round 01:15

Predicted probability

Timo Legout

France

60.27%

Darian King

Barbados

39.73%

Average Odds

1.09  /  6.46

Market probability

85.56%  /  14.44%

Why This Prediction?

Timo Legout is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1682 vs 1630), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1656 vs 1587) and a stronger return game (39.0% vs 34.2% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1682.4 Elo 1629.5
1655.6 Elo (surface) 1587.0
18 Wins (Challenger) 110
16 Wins (surface) 93
10 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.928 Dominance ratio 0.778
410 Rank 1209
None Age 34.4
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Timo Legout

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Darian King

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-07-20.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Timo Legout Darian King

1st Serve In %

64.0%
68.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

57.7%
65.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

30.0%
41.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.0%
42.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

34.1%
51.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.06
0.24

Double Faults per Service Game

0.75
0.20

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.1%
65.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.9%
63.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%
46.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%
24.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.9%
52.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.17
0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27
0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Timo Legout Darian King

Break Points Saved %

44.4%
54.1%

Break Points Converted %

16.7%
59.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.8%
48.7%

Break Points Converted %

51.8%
43.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Timo Legout 00 Darian King

Hard San Diego 2 challenger · 2026-09-21

qualification - 1. round

Timo Legout #410

Darian King #1209

6-2 6-0
0 Aces 0
1 Double Faults 0
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
20 First Serve Won 14
10 Second Serve Won 4
2 Break Points Saved 2
2 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.1 Average Odds 6.5

Timo Legout — Last 10

W W W L W W W L W L

Darian King — Last 10

L L W W W W W L L W