ATP tennis predict — Timo Legout vs Daniil Ostapenkov

Challenger Hard Tiburon challenger · qualification - round of 16 20:30

Predicted probability

Timo Legout

France

67.26%

Daniil Ostapenkov

Belarus

32.74%

Average Odds

1.31 / 3.14

Market probability

70.56% / 29.44%

Why This Prediction?

Timo Legout is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1663 vs 1459), a higher Elo rating (1674 vs 1504) and better recent form (11 wins in his last 15 matches vs 9).

Player Comparison

1674.1 Elo 1504.3

1662.7 Elo (surface) 1459.4

16 Wins (Challenger) 11

14 Wins (surface) 7

11 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.928 Dominance ratio 1.012

445 Rank 556

None Age 23.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Timo Legout

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Daniil Ostapenkov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Timo Legout Daniil Ostapenkov

1st Serve In %

64.0%

52.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

57.7%

59.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

30.0%

34.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.0%

29.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

34.1%

55.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.06

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.75

0.56

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.1%

61.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.9%

74.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

45.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%

25.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.9%

42.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Timo Legout Daniil Ostapenkov

Break Points Saved %

44.4%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

16.7%

63.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.8%

49.2%

Break Points Converted %

51.8%

43.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Timo Legout 0 – 0 Daniil Ostapenkov

Hard San Diego 2 challenger · 2026-09-21

qualification - round of 16

Timo Legout #410

Daniil Ostapenkov #555

6-3 6-1

0 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 7

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

18 First Serve Won 16

8 Second Serve Won 4

3 Break Points Saved 3

6 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.5

Hard Tiburon challenger · 2026-09-14

qualification - round of 16

Timo Legout #444

Daniil Ostapenkov #554

6-3 6-4

0 Aces 3

3 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

31 First Serve Won 25

12 Second Serve Won 6

2 Break Points Saved 2

3 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.1

Timo Legout vs Daniil Ostapenkov — Prediction