ATP tennis predict — Timo Legout vs Colton Smith

Challenger Hard San Diego 2 challenger · R16 19:00

Predicted probability

Timo Legout

France

35.78%

Colton Smith

USA

64.22%

Average Odds

1.65 / 1.63

Market probability

49.70% / 50.30%

Why This Prediction?

Colton Smith is the favorite because he has more wins on hard courts (11 vs 0), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1702 vs 1697) and a stronger serve (60.3% vs 47.4% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1723.5 Elo 1740.8

1697.5 Elo (surface) 1701.6

20 Wins (Challenger) 49

18 Wins (surface) 38

11 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.928 Dominance ratio 1.047

410 Rank 205

None Age 23.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Timo Legout

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Colton Smith

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-27.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Timo Legout Colton Smith

1st Serve In %

64.0%

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

57.7%

68.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

30.0%

45.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.0%

31.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

34.1%

44.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.06

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.75

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.1%

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.9%

68.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

49.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%

34.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.9%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Timo Legout Colton Smith

Break Points Saved %

44.4%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

16.7%

38.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.8%

65.6%

Break Points Converted %

51.8%

42.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Timo Legout and Colton Smith have never played each other.

Timo Legout vs Colton Smith — Prediction