ATP tennis predict — Timo Legout vs Bryce Nakashima

Challenger Hard Tiburon challenger · R16 22:00

Predicted probability

Timo Legout

France

61.27%

Bryce Nakashima

USA

38.73%

Average Odds

1.44 / 2.59

Market probability

64.27% / 35.73%

Why This Prediction?

Timo Legout is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1723 vs 1580), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1697 vs 1574) and more career match wins (18 vs 4).

Player Comparison

1722.9 Elo 1580.4

1697.0 Elo (surface) 1574.0

18 Wins (Challenger) 4

16 Wins (surface) 4

11 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.928 Dominance ratio 1.063

444 Rank 711

None Age 22.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Timo Legout

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Bryce Nakashima

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Timo Legout Bryce Nakashima

1st Serve In %

64.0%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

57.7%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

30.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

34.1%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.06

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.75

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.1%

57.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.9%

73.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%

26.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.9%

50.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.61

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Timo Legout Bryce Nakashima

Break Points Saved %

44.4%

—

Break Points Converted %

16.7%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.8%

71.0%

Break Points Converted %

51.8%

44.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Timo Legout 0 – 0 Bryce Nakashima

Hard Tiburon challenger · 2026-09-17

R16

Bryce Nakashima #711

Timo Legout #444

7-6 6-2

0 Aces 11

3 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

32 First Serve Won 38

14 Second Serve Won 16

4 Break Points Saved 6

7 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.6 Average Odds 1.4

Timo Legout vs Bryce Nakashima — Prediction