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Tim Handel vs Daniel Siniakov — Prediction

Challenger Clay Hagen challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Tim Handel

Germany

45.68%

Daniel Siniakov

Czech Republic

54.32%

Average Odds

3.50  /  1.27

Market probability

26.62%  /  73.38%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1426.6 Elo 1406.6
1534.2 Elo (surface) 1419.2
13 Wins (Challenger) 7
10 Wins (surface) 7
5 Last 15 form 5
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.824 Dominance ratio 1.058
772 Rank 448
29.8 Age 23.6
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tim Handel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Daniel Siniakov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tim Handel Daniel Siniakov

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

60.2%
65.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.0%
67.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

38.9%
50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.3%
34.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.5%
50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.56
0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38
0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tim Handel Daniel Siniakov

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

47.0%
55.2%

Break Points Converted %

34.4%
41.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tim Handel 00 Daniel Siniakov

Clay Hagen challenger · 2026-08-02

qualification - 1. round

Tim Handel #772

Daniel Siniakov #448

6-4 6-4
8 Aces 2
0 Double Faults 4
58 Service Points 70
41 First Serve In 50
31 First Serve Won 32
9 Second Serve Won 9
2 Break Points Saved 5
3 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
3.5 Average Odds 1.3

Tim Handel — Last 10

L L W L L L L W L W

Daniel Siniakov — Last 10

L W W L L L L L W W