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Tilen Kovac vs Svyatoslav Gulin — Prediction

Challenger Clay Catania challenger · qualification - 1. round 12:00

Predicted probability

Tilen Kovac

Slovenia

11.78%

Svyatoslav Gulin

Russia

88.22%

Average Odds

14.77  /  1.01

Market probability

6.40%  /  93.60%

Why This Prediction?

Svyatoslav Gulin is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1624 vs 1500), a higher Elo rating (1612 vs 1500) and better recent form (8 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1500 Elo 1612.0
1500 Elo (surface) 1623.7
0 Wins (Challenger) 35
0 Wins (surface) 29
0 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.880 Dominance ratio 0.880
- Rank 572
24.2 Age 23.8
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tilen Kovac

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

No market odds recorded for this player yet.

Svyatoslav Gulin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tilen Kovac Svyatoslav Gulin

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

—
60.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

—
71.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—
56.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—
28.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—
44.4%

Aces per Service Game

—
0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

—
0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tilen Kovac Svyatoslav Gulin

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

—
55.7%

Break Points Converted %

—
35.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tilen Kovac and Svyatoslav Gulin have never played each other.

Tilen Kovac — Last 0

No recent matches found.

Svyatoslav Gulin — Last 10

L W L W L W W L W L