ATP tennis predict — Tiago Torres vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

ATP Clay Estoril · 1. round

Predicted probability

Tiago Torres

Portugal

39.33%

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Georgia

60.67%

Average Odds

3.56 / 1.29

Market probability

26.60% / 73.40%

Why This Prediction?

Nikoloz Basilashvili is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1669 vs 1580), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1667 vs 1562) and more wins on clay courts (74 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1579.6 Elo 1668.9

1562.4 Elo (surface) 1667.4

0 Wins 246

0 Wins (surface) 74

0 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.104 Dominance ratio 1.104

427 Rank 130

24.0 Age 34.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tiago Torres

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-07-20.

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–6L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tiago Torres Nikoloz Basilashvili

1st Serve In %

54.7%

57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.3%

66.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.4%

46.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.6%

25.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

65.6%

50.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

52.4%

51.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.0%

74.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.8%

27.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.6%

50.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.22

0.74

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.53

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tiago Torres Nikoloz Basilashvili

Break Points Saved %

61.1%

60.3%

Break Points Converted %

42.3%

40.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.3%

59.0%

Break Points Converted %

48.8%

42.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tiago Torres 0 – 0 Nikoloz Basilashvili

Clay Estoril · 2026-07-20

1. round

Tiago Torres #427

Nikoloz Basilashvili #130

6-4 6-2

3 Aces 3

7 Double Faults 4

58 Service Points 51

23 First Serve In 27

17 First Serve Won 18

17 Second Serve Won 6

4 Break Points Saved 2

6 Break Points Faced 7

14 Winners 18

18 Unforced Errors 42

3.6 Average Odds 1.3

Tiago Torres vs Nikoloz Basilashvili — Prediction