ATP tennis predict — Tiago Pereira vs Rudolf Molleker

Challenger Clay Szczecin challenger · qualification - round of 16 11:00

Predicted probability

Tiago Pereira

Portugal

45.32%

Rudolf Molleker

Germany

54.68%

Average Odds

2.35 / 1.55

Market probability

39.74% / 60.26%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1541.0 Elo 1569.6

1532.6 Elo (surface) 1593.0

35 Wins (Challenger) 144

22 Wins (surface) 116

9 Last 15 form 7

1 Head-to-head wins 1

1.049 Dominance ratio 0.966

355 Rank 458

22.2 Age 25.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tiago Pereira

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-09.

Rudolf Molleker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tiago Pereira Rudolf Molleker

1st Serve In %

56.7%

58.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.2%

72.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

53.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.3%

25.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.4%

53.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.70

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

56.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.6%

69.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.7%

47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.5%

28.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.9%

47.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.55

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tiago Pereira Rudolf Molleker

Break Points Saved %

56.2%

53.2%

Break Points Converted %

39.1%

46.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.0%

49.2%

Break Points Converted %

37.3%

29.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tiago Pereira 1 – 1 Rudolf Molleker

Clay Szczecin challenger · 2026-09-14

qualification - round of 16

Tiago Pereira #338

Rudolf Molleker #540

2-6 6-4 7-6

8 Aces 11

2 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

48 First Serve Won 46

25 Second Serve Won 14

10 Break Points Saved 3

14 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.4 Average Odds 1.6

Clay Alicante CH · 2026-03-23

Q2

Tiago Pereira #275

Rudolf Molleker #425

4-6 6-2 6-0

9 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 8

72 Service Points 75

46 First Serve In 28

37 First Serve Won 13

15 Second Serve Won 23

3 Break Points Saved 6

4 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Poznan CH · 2025-06-16

Q2

Rudolf Molleker #363

Tiago Pereira #349

4-6 7-5 6-3

9 Aces 9

5 Double Faults 3

104 Service Points 96

65 First Serve In 59

45 First Serve Won 40

20 Second Serve Won 20

8 Break Points Saved 5

11 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Tiago Pereira vs Rudolf Molleker — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Tiago Pereira — Last 10

Rudolf Molleker — Last 10