ATP tennis predict — Tiago Pereira vs Pol Martin Tiffon

Challenger Clay Braga challenger · 1. round 11:00

Predicted probability

Tiago Pereira

Portugal

32.47%

Pol Martin Tiffon

Spain

67.53%

Average Odds

2.58 / 1.44

Market probability

35.82% / 64.18%

Why This Prediction?

Pol Martin Tiffon is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1651 vs 1503), a higher Elo rating (1687 vs 1531) and more career match wins (76 vs 37).

Player Comparison

1530.7 Elo 1686.5

1502.7 Elo (surface) 1650.9

37 Wins (Challenger) 76

23 Wins (surface) 59

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.049 Dominance ratio 1.111

339 Rank 209

22.3 Age 27.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tiago Pereira

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-09.

Pol Martin Tiffon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tiago Pereira Pol Martin Tiffon

1st Serve In %

56.7%

61.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.2%

67.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

45.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.3%

23.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.4%

49.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.7%

64.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

68.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.5%

48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.1%

33.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.6%

48.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tiago Pereira Pol Martin Tiffon

Break Points Saved %

56.2%

60.3%

Break Points Converted %

39.1%

30.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.1%

55.4%

Break Points Converted %

38.3%

36.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tiago Pereira and Pol Martin Tiffon have never played each other.

Tiago Pereira vs Pol Martin Tiffon — Prediction