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Tiago Pereira vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo — Prediction

Challenger Clay Braga challenger · R16 14:00

Predicted probability

Tiago Pereira

Portugal

26.81%

Average Odds

3.22  /  1.31

Market probability

28.92%  /  71.08%

Why This Prediction?

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1740 vs 1534), a higher Elo rating (1734 vs 1558) and more wins on clay courts (133 vs 24).

Player Comparison

1558.0 Elo 1734.4
1534.4 Elo (surface) 1739.7
38 Wins (Challenger) 136
24 Wins (surface) 133
8 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.049 Dominance ratio 1.109
339 Rank 157
22.3 Age 27.6
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tiago Pereira

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–4L · 55.6%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-09.

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tiago Pereira Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

1st Serve In %

56.7%
66.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.2%
64.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%
45.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.3%
27.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.4%
50.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.42
0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19
0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

71.3%
59.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.8%
61.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.7%
45.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.0%
41.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.1%
50.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.40
0.24

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28
0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tiago Pereira Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Break Points Saved %

56.2%
62.2%

Break Points Converted %

39.1%
34.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%
56.5%

Break Points Converted %

38.6%
50.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tiago Pereira and Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo have never played each other.

Tiago Pereira — Last 10

W L W L L W W L W L

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo — Last 10

W W W W W W L L L L