ATP tennis predict — Tiago Pereira vs Luka Mikrut

Challenger Clay Maia challenger · 1. round 12:00

Predicted probability

Tiago Pereira

Portugal

25.50%

Luka Mikrut

Croatia

74.50%

Average Odds

4.38 / 1.16

Market probability

20.94% / 79.06%

Why This Prediction?

Luka Mikrut is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1842 vs 1574), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1900 vs 1557) and more wins on clay courts (1 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1573.7 Elo 1841.9

1557.2 Elo (surface) 1899.6

39 Wins (Challenger) 67

25 Wins (surface) 60

8 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.049 Dominance ratio 1.032

339 Rank 167

22.3 Age 22.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tiago Pereira

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-06-09.

Luka Mikrut

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tiago Pereira Luka Mikrut

1st Serve In %

56.7%

59.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.2%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

56.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.3%

25.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.4%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

—

1st Serve Points Won %

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tiago Pereira Luka Mikrut

Break Points Saved %

56.2%

55.2%

Break Points Converted %

39.1%

28.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.0%

49.1%

Break Points Converted %

40.3%

35.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tiago Pereira and Luka Mikrut have never played each other.

Tiago Pereira vs Luka Mikrut — Prediction