ATP tennis predict — Tiago Pereira vs Imanol Lopez Morillo

Challenger Clay Szczecin challenger · qualification - 1. round 10:30

Predicted probability

Tiago Pereira

Portugal

66.84%

Imanol Lopez Morillo

Spain

33.16%

Average Odds

1.34 / 2.94

Market probability

68.69% / 31.31%

Why This Prediction?

Tiago Pereira is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1527 vs 1426), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1514 vs 1440) and a stronger serve (63.8% vs 57.9% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1526.9 Elo 1425.8

1514.3 Elo (surface) 1439.6

34 Wins (Challenger) 16

21 Wins (surface) 16

8 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.049 Dominance ratio 1.034

355 Rank 590

22.2 Age 26.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tiago Pereira

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-09.

Imanol Lopez Morillo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tiago Pereira Imanol Lopez Morillo

1st Serve In %

56.7%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

74.2%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.4%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.42

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

55.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.6%

67.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.7%

45.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.5%

36.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.9%

53.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tiago Pereira Imanol Lopez Morillo

Break Points Saved %

56.2%

—

Break Points Converted %

39.1%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.0%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

37.3%

46.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tiago Pereira 0 – 0 Imanol Lopez Morillo

Clay Szczecin challenger · 2026-09-13

qualification - 1. round

Tiago Pereira #355

Imanol Lopez Morillo #590

4-6 6-3 7-6

3 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

49 First Serve Won 28

15 Second Serve Won 27

4 Break Points Saved 4

9 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 2.9

Tiago Pereira vs Imanol Lopez Morillo — Prediction