ATP tennis predict — Tiago Pereira vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez

Challenger Hard Pozoblanco challenger · QF

Predicted probability

Tiago Pereira

Portugal

48.39%

Alejo Sanchez Quilez

Spain

51.61%

Average Odds

2.18 / 1.63

Market probability

42.78% / 57.22%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1415.1 Elo 1596.5

1507.3 Elo (surface) 1558.7

29 Wins (Challenger) 29

11 Wins (surface) 8

4 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.894 Dominance ratio 0.763

379 Rank 492

22.1 Age 21.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tiago Pereira

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-09.

Alejo Sanchez Quilez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tiago Pereira Alejo Sanchez Quilez

1st Serve In %

56.7%

65.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.2%

62.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.3%

25.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.4%

36.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.10

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

61.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.6%

67.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.7%

52.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.5%

31.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.9%

46.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tiago Pereira Alejo Sanchez Quilez

Break Points Saved %

56.2%

33.3%

Break Points Converted %

39.1%

66.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.0%

55.2%

Break Points Converted %

37.3%

46.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tiago Pereira 0 – 0 Alejo Sanchez Quilez

Hard Pozoblanco challenger · 2026-07-17

QF

Tiago Pereira #379

Alejo Sanchez Quilez #492

6-4 7-6

1 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 1

68 Service Points 65

44 First Serve In 40

31 First Serve Won 26

13 Second Serve Won 14

0 Break Points Saved 1

2 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Tiago Pereira vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez — Prediction