ATP tennis predict — Tiago Cacao vs Fabrizio Andaloro

Challenger Hard Roehampton 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round 16:30

Predicted probability

Tiago Cacao

Portugal

35.41%

Fabrizio Andaloro

Italy

64.59%

Average Odds

2.05 / 1.69

Market probability

45.19% / 54.81%

Why This Prediction?

Fabrizio Andaloro is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1463 vs 1371), more aces per game (0.18 vs 0.06) and a higher Elo rating (1421 vs 1411).

Player Comparison

1411.4 Elo 1421.2

1370.6 Elo (surface) 1462.5

14 Wins (Challenger) 16

0 Wins (surface) 15

4 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.894 Dominance ratio 0.853

676 Rank 522

28.5 Age 25.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Tiago Cacao

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-08-23.

Fabrizio Andaloro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-08-23.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tiago Cacao Fabrizio Andaloro

1st Serve In %

63.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

56.8%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.11

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.6%

59.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.6%

65.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.1%

46.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.5%

32.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.6%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Tiago Cacao Fabrizio Andaloro

Break Points Saved %

36.4%

—

Break Points Converted %

66.7%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.3%

61.5%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

40.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Tiago Cacao 0 – 0 Fabrizio Andaloro

Hard Roehampton 2 challenger · 2026-08-23

qualification - 1. round

Fabrizio Andaloro #522

Tiago Cacao #676

7-5 6-1

2 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 2

66 Service Points 55

37 First Serve In 31

20 First Serve Won 24

14 Second Serve Won 13

7 Break Points Saved 2

12 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.0

Tiago Cacao vs Fabrizio Andaloro — Prediction