ATP tennis predict — Thomas Faurel vs Facundo Mena

Challenger Clay Todi challenger · 1. round 14:00

Predicted probability

Thomas Faurel

France

41.90%

Facundo Mena

Argentina

58.10%

Average Odds

1.43 / 2.64

Market probability

64.86% / 35.14%

Why This Prediction?

Facundo Mena is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1612 vs 1454), a higher Elo rating (1571 vs 1459) and more wins on clay courts (169 vs 19).

Player Comparison

1458.6 Elo 1570.6

1454.4 Elo (surface) 1611.6

22 Wins (Challenger) 194

19 Wins (surface) 169

6 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.883 Dominance ratio 1.045

323 Rank 333

20.6 Age 33.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Thomas Faurel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Facundo Mena

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thomas Faurel Facundo Mena

1st Serve In %

62.4%

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.2%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.9%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.5%

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.9%

41.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.49

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.2%

63.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.0%

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%

46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.3%

31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.9%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thomas Faurel Facundo Mena

Break Points Saved %

69.7%

54.5%

Break Points Converted %

32.0%

25.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.5%

64.6%

Break Points Converted %

56.2%

34.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Thomas Faurel 0 – 0 Facundo Mena

Clay Todi challenger · 2026-08-11

1. round

Thomas Faurel #323

Facundo Mena #333

7-6 6-2

5 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 1

93 Service Points 62

50 First Serve In 40

32 First Serve Won 28

18 Second Serve Won 16

10 Break Points Saved 2

13 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Thomas Faurel vs Facundo Mena — Prediction