ATP tennis predict — Thomas Faurel vs Calvin Hemery

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · R16 09:30

Predicted probability

Thomas Faurel

France

42.95%

Calvin Hemery

France

57.05%

Average Odds

1.72 / 2.02

Market probability

54.01% / 45.99%

Why This Prediction?

Calvin Hemery is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1622 vs 1477), a higher Elo rating (1607 vs 1476) and more wins on clay courts (145 vs 21).

Player Comparison

1475.7 Elo 1606.7

1477.1 Elo (surface) 1621.7

24 Wins (Challenger) 227

21 Wins (surface) 145

5 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.801 Dominance ratio 0.901

351 Rank 328

20.6 Age 31.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Thomas Faurel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Calvin Hemery

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thomas Faurel Calvin Hemery

1st Serve In %

62.4%

66.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.2%

72.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.9%

46.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.5%

22.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.9%

50.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.49

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.2%

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.0%

65.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%

42.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.3%

35.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.9%

46.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thomas Faurel Calvin Hemery

Break Points Saved %

69.7%

63.1%

Break Points Converted %

32.0%

40.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.5%

57.8%

Break Points Converted %

56.2%

34.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Thomas Faurel 0 – 0 Calvin Hemery

Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · 2026-09-02

R16

Thomas Faurel #351

Calvin Hemery #328

7-5 5-7 4-2

1 Aces 4

0 Double Faults 4

99 Service Points 97

59 First Serve In 57

35 First Serve Won 37

22 Second Serve Won 16

6 Break Points Saved 4

10 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.0

Thomas Faurel vs Calvin Hemery — Prediction