ATP tennis predict — Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Philip Henning

Challenger Clay Zug challenger · QF

Predicted probability

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Brazil

77.92%

Philip Henning

RSA

22.08%

Average Odds

1.45 / 2.63

Market probability

64.46% / 35.54%

Why This Prediction?

Thiago Seyboth Wild is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1712 vs 1497), a stronger serve (66.2% vs 56.5% of service points won) and more wins on clay courts (139 vs 3).

Player Comparison

1692.0 Elo 1664.2

1712.4 Elo (surface) 1497.1

152 Wins (Challenger) 27

139 Wins (surface) 3

11 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.258 Dominance ratio 0.840

276 Rank 294

26.4 Age 25.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–2L · 84.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-25.

Philip Henning

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Seyboth Wild Philip Henning

1st Serve In %

64.4%

67.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%

65.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.5%

52.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%

53.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.12

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%

59.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.4%

65.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.1%

48.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

33.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.3%

52.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Seyboth Wild Philip Henning

Break Points Saved %

59.1%

57.1%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

38.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.0%

63.4%

Break Points Converted %

29.9%

34.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Thiago Seyboth Wild 0 – 0 Philip Henning

Clay Zug challenger · 2026-07-24

QF

Thiago Seyboth Wild #276

Philip Henning #294

6-1 7-6

2 Aces 12

1 Double Faults 1

73 Service Points 60

46 First Serve In 42

28 First Serve Won 33

11 Second Serve Won 12

6 Break Points Saved 3

9 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Philip Henning — Prediction