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Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Pedro Martinez — Prediction

Challenger Clay Genoa challenger · F 18:00

Predicted probability

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Brazil

55.66%

Pedro Martinez

Spain

44.34%

Average Odds

1.47  /  2.52

Market probability

63.16%  /  36.84%

Why This Prediction?

Thiago Seyboth Wild is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1789 vs 1752), a stronger serve (64.0% vs 55.3% of service points won) and a higher Elo rating (1778 vs 1757).

Player Comparison

1777.5 Elo 1756.6
1789.3 Elo (surface) 1752.4
162 Wins (Challenger) 164
149 Wins (surface) 125
12 Last 15 form 10
2 Head-to-head wins 0
0.953 Dominance ratio 0.915
198 Rank 148
26.5 Age 29.4
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–2L · 84.6%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-25.

Pedro Martinez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–5L · 64.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Seyboth Wild Pedro Martinez

1st Serve In %

64.4%
67.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%
67.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.5%
58.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%
33.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%
56.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.53
0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
0.15

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%
65.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.4%
63.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.1%
43.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%
33.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.3%
56.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.56
0.10

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Seyboth Wild Pedro Martinez

Break Points Saved %

59.1%
64.2%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%
49.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.0%
55.7%

Break Points Converted %

29.9%
42.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Thiago Seyboth Wild 20 Pedro Martinez

Clay Genoa challenger · 2026-09-13
4 Aces 0
1 Double Faults 2
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
27 First Serve Won 24
11 Second Serve Won 7
1 Break Points Saved 3
2 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.5 Average Odds 2.5
Clay Lyon · 2024-05-20
6 Aces 0
2 Double Faults 4
50 Service Points 58
26 First Serve In 45
19 First Serve Won 24
13 Second Serve Won 4
1 Break Points Saved 2
3 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Como CH · 2023-08-28
7 Aces 2
3 Double Faults 4
109 Service Points 81
68 First Serve In 56
49 First Serve Won 38
19 Second Serve Won 13
8 Break Points Saved 4
10 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Thiago Seyboth Wild — Last 10

W W W W W L W W L W

Pedro Martinez — Last 10

L L W W W W L W L W