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Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Norbert Gombos — Prediction

Challenger Clay Como challenger · R16 16:00

Predicted probability

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Brazil

60.60%

Norbert Gombos

Slovakia

39.40%

Average Odds

1.46  /  2.59

Market probability

63.95%  /  36.05%

Why This Prediction?

Thiago Seyboth Wild is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1748 vs 1708), a higher Elo rating (1718 vs 1695) and a better head-to-head record against Norbert Gombos (1-0).

Player Comparison

1718.2 Elo 1695.4
1747.6 Elo (surface) 1708.0
157 Wins (Challenger) 334
144 Wins (surface) 179
12 Last 15 form 13
1 Head-to-head wins 0
0.957 Dominance ratio 1.049
198 Rank 369
26.5 Age 36.0
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–2L · 84.6%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-25.

Norbert Gombos

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 12W–1L · 92.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–8L · 11.1%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

35 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Seyboth Wild Norbert Gombos

1st Serve In %

64.4%
58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%
73.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.5%
59.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%
28.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%
47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.53
0.54

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%
62.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.4%
75.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.1%
52.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%
31.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.3%
49.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.56
0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Seyboth Wild Norbert Gombos

Break Points Saved %

59.1%
70.3%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%
50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.0%
64.2%

Break Points Converted %

29.9%
50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Thiago Seyboth Wild 10 Norbert Gombos

Clay Como challenger · 2026-09-02
8 Aces 2
2 Double Faults 1
55 Service Points 54
39 First Serve In 34
30 First Serve Won 28
11 Second Serve Won 7
0 Break Points Saved 2
0 Break Points Faced 4
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.5 Average Odds 2.6
Clay Ostrava CH · 2026-04-27
6-3 6-7(5) 6-1
1 Aces 2
1 Double Faults 0
104 Service Points 80
74 First Serve In 41
56 First Serve Won 29
18 Second Serve Won 22
13 Break Points Saved 2
13 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Thiago Seyboth Wild — Last 10

W W W W W L W W L W

Norbert Gombos — Last 10

L W L W W W L W W W