ATP tennis predict — Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco

Challenger Clay Antofagasta challenger · R16 16:00

Predicted probability

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Brazil

81.25%

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco

Bolivia

18.75%

Average Odds

1.10 / 5.83

Market probability

84.13% / 15.87%

Why This Prediction?

Thiago Seyboth Wild is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1794 vs 1543), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1808 vs 1559) and a stronger serve (64.0% vs 57.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1794.4 Elo 1543.1

1807.5 Elo (surface) 1559.2

164 Wins (Challenger) 116

151 Wins (surface) 116

13 Last 15 form 6

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.953 Dominance ratio 1.024

136 Rank 407

26.6 Age 29.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 9W–1L · 90.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–2L · 84.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-06-25.

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-08-04.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Seyboth Wild Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco

1st Serve In %

64.4%

69.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%

57.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.5%

43.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%

28.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%

48.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.7%

64.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.4%

63.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.2%

47.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.5%

39.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.2%

59.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

0.14

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Thiago Seyboth Wild Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco

Break Points Saved %

59.1%

49.3%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

27.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

62.5%

Break Points Converted %

31.9%

51.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Thiago Seyboth Wild 1 – 0 Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco

Clay Buenos Aires CH · 2023-04-24

R16

Thiago Seyboth Wild #226

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco #300

6-1 3-6 6-1

2 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 3

74 Service Points 89

46 First Serve In 63

32 First Serve Won 36

16 Second Serve Won 12

3 Break Points Saved 6

5 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco — Prediction